Assiniboine River:

The Shellmouth Reservoir water level rose 0.08 feet to 1410.44 feet in the 24 hour period ending this morning under light winds.

The reservoir inflow has risen to 2460 cfs and continues to rise. Consultations with the Saskatchewan Water Authority resulted in their agreement to reduce outflows from good Spirit Lake from 300 cfs to 150 cfs. This change was made early this afternoon and will help reduce inflows to Shellmouth Reservoir for the next 10 days or so. Despite this action, the peak inflow for Shellmouth Reservoir will still be about 2660 cfs a few days from now and inflows will exceed outflows for quite some time after that.

The total reservoir outflow was increased to 1900 cfs yesterday evening following consultations with the Regulation Liaison Committee and others. The conduit flow was reduced to 250 cfs this morning in order to maintain the total outflow of 1900 cfs. An updated forecast prepared this morning shows that outflows will rise to about 2400 cfs if the present outflow of 1900 cfs is maintained as long as possible. Calculations show that the peak outflow can be reduced to about 2170 cfs if the outflow is increased to 2100 cfs as this afternoon. The effect of such an increase would reduce the peak river level in the Shellmouth area from 1355.5 to 1354.85 feet. This would significantly reduce the extent of flooding from Shellmouth Dam to Millwood. Manitoba Water Stewardship is considering such an increase and will consult with the Regulation Liaison Committee on the issue this afternoon.

The attached spreadsheets show the forecast for two scenarios---maintaining an outflow of 1900 cfs as long as possible, and going to 2150 cfs outflow later today.

A flood sheet for the Assiniboine River is attached.

Red River, Eastern Manitoba

Levels of small streams in the Nopiming Park area, where 90 mm of rain fell Monday evening, continue to subside but larger streams such as the Bird River continue to rise steadily and may not crest until next week. Additional washouts and difficulties with transportation are developing.

Saskeram Area:

Flooding will continue in the Saskeram area for many weeks due to the large amounts of water in storage in the marshes and lakes. Bracken Dam is being operated to reduce levels to the extent possible. MAFRI, is working with the T.M. of Kelsey and Crown Lands to help farmers affected by flooding.