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Manitoba's labour market conditions are unique, its economy is vibrant, and the province is strongly positioned to embrace the opportunities and tackle the challenges of the labour market of the future.

Manitoba’s Labour Market Outlook for 2022–2026 identifies expected trends for the province’s labour market based on an occupation forecasting model that projects the number of openings in individual jobs and industry sectors, as well as the number of workers available to fill those jobs. Projections for anticipated labour gaps are also provided at the occupation, industry and educational program level to help us plan for the future.

The purpose of this outlook is to increase understanding of the state of the Manitoba labour market and the key issues involved in achieving future labour market goals for both individuals and Manitoba businesses. The outlook is intended to facilitate career planning for Manitobans, workforce planning by government and industry, and to promote awareness and discussion about the state of the labour markets and implications for business and government initiatives.



Population growth is a main driver of supplying the workforce to fill future jobs.  Manitoba is expected to continue slow and steady population growth over the next five years. The Manitoba Bureau of Statistics projects that Manitoba’s population will grow by 55,000 residents over the next five years (2022–2026), or 11,000 per year on average.

Immigration contributes greatly to Manitoba’s workforce growth. With international travel restrictions introduced to slow the spread of COVID-19, immigration numbers plummeted across Canada in 2020—Manitoba welcomed only 8,628 immigrants that year. This lower inflow of workers from overseas is expected to impact Manitoba’s workforce in the short-term, but immigration is expected to return to pre-pandemic levels over the forecasted period.

Natural increase is expected to contribute 35,442 new residents, and immigration will bring 80,789 new residents to the province, while net interprovincial migration will lead to the loss of 45,880 residents to other parts of Canada over the next five years.

Manitoba’s unemployment rate is expected to remain very low through the next five years.


2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Population level 1,405,200 1,418,200 1,431,800 1,445,800 1,460,200
Natural increase (births/deaths) 7,070 7,156 7,118 7,070 7,028
Total net in-migration 5,910 6,807 7,182 7,400 7,610
Immigration 15,160 15,688 16,384 16,650 16,907
Working-age population 1,137,100 1,147,576 1,158,676 1,170,217 1,181,815
Employment 672,357 677,253 681,574 685,887 690,233
Unemployment 31,755 32,061 32,565 33,072 33,585
Unemployment rate (%) 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6%
Participation rate (%) 61.9% 61.8% 61.6% 61.4% 61.2%


  How is this information helpful?
The Manitoba Labour Market Outlook 2022–2026 provides information for anyone interested in the future of Manitoba's labour market and where future job opportunities can be found.

More detailed information for employers, job seekers, career practitioners, and post-secondary institutions can be found on the other pages linked in the tool bar at the top of the page.



Labour Market Outlook for 2022–2026 at a Glance

For key highlights of the 2022–2026 Labour Market Outlook, download our complete "Outlook at a Glance" infographic (available in alternate formats upon request).


Job Openings

New Jobs

Replacement Demand

New Workers


Education Requirements pie graph:
11% -- no formal education requirements; 11% -- managerial usually requiring a university education; 15% -- university degree at the bachelor's, master's or doctorate level; 33% -- secondary school and/or occupation-specific training; 30% -- college, speciailized training or apprenticeship


56% of job openings over the next five years will require formal post-secondary training

Image of job openings by Manitoba region: 2,200 in Parklands and North; 3,900 in Interlake; 75,800 in Winnipeg; 7,200 in Southwest; 10,900 in North Central and South Central; 12,900 in Southeast
Sources of workforce change: +64,000 -- New entrants; +36,000 -- Immigrants; +7,000 -- Other mobility; -11,800 -- Deaths; -24,000 -- Interprovincial migrants; -66,300 -- Retirements
Sources of Jobs Openings -- 32% -- new jobs due to economic growth; 68% -- job openings to replace retiring workers
5 industry groups account for over 50% of job openings: 17% -- health care and social assistance; 14% -- wholesale and retail trade; 11% -- educational services; 8% -- public administration; 8% -- construction
Share of Occupations with  Expected Shortages by Group: 88% -- Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport; 79% -- Management; 74% -- Business, Finance and Administration; 71% -- Education, Law and Social, Community and Government Services; 69% -- Health; 69% -- Sales and Service; 64% -- Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators; 39% -- -Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations; 34% -- Manufacturing and Utilities; 17% -- Natural Resources, Agriculture and Related Production Occupations
Top 10 Skills Required by Employers
Speaking - Conveying information effectively Active Listening - Giving full attention to understand what others are saying; Reading Comprehension - Understanding written content in work-related documents; Critical Thinking - Using logic and reasoning to evaluate solutions or solve problems; Monitoring - Assessing performance of yourself and others; Social Perceptiveness - Being aware of others’ reactions and understanding why they react as they do
Coordination - Adjusting actions in relation to other’s actions; Judgment and Decision Making - Considering the relative costs and benefits of potential actions to choose the most appropriate one; Service Orientation - Actively looking for ways to help people; Time Management - Managing one’s own time and the time of others

Top 10 occupations with the highest labour gap

Labour gap is calculated by comparing the expected number of job openings in an occupation with the expected number of workers available in that same occupation. A positive gap indicates a labour shortage, while a negative gap means there will be a surplus of workers in the occupation.

Transport Truck Drivers; Retail and Wholesale Trade Managers; Registered Nurses and Registered Psychiatric Nurses; Elementary and Secondary School Teacher Assistants; Elementary School and Kindergarten Teachers
Hairstylists and Barbers; Automotive Service Technicians; Truck and Bus Mechanics and Mechanical Repairers; Early Childhood Educators and Assistants; Retail Salespersons; General Office Support Workers

Top 10 occupations with the highest number of openings

Transport Truck Drivers; Retail Salespersons; Nurse Aides, Orderlies and Patient Service Associates; Registered Nurses and
Registered Psychiatric Nurses; Retail and Wholesale Trade Managers; Elementary School and
Kindergarten Teachers
Elementary School and Secondary School Teaching Assistants; Early Childhood Educators and Assistants; Food Counter Attendants;
Kitchen Helpers and Related Support Occupations; General Office Support Workers


More detailed information for employers, job seekers and career practitioners, and post-secondary institutions can be found on the other pages linked in the tool bar at the top of the page.


  A note on COVID-19
The emergence of COVID-19 has had a severe impact on the labour market in Canada and across the world. The intermittent shut-down of non-essential services to control the spread of the virus early in the pandemic raised unemployment rates, reduced labour force participation and significantly reduced hours worked in all industries.

Based on the nature of the public health restrictions implemented over the course of the pandemic, some industry sectors, particularly retail and accommodation services, were impacted to a greater degree than others.

Adjustments to the report may be required if there are any drastic changes in the manner that the virus affects Manitoba’s economy in the future.



Contact Information

Data and Evaluation Unit
Manitoba Economic Development, Investment, Trade and Natural Resources
Winnipeg, Manitoba


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